Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#71
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#74
Pace70.0#154
Improvement-2.8#296

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#71
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#71
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.6#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.6% n/a n/a
First Round2.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 124   Missouri St. L 80-85 78%     0 - 1 -5.6 -0.3 -0.3
  Nov 19, 2017 189   Nicholls St. W 100-86 87%     1 - 1 +9.2 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 22, 2017 1   Villanova L 58-66 10%     1 - 2 +13.6 +10.8 +10.8
  Nov 23, 2017 4   Purdue W 77-73 16%     2 - 2 +22.1 +9.0 +9.0
  Nov 24, 2017 85   SMU W 63-61 55%     3 - 2 +8.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 29, 2017 288   Eastern Kentucky W 83-51 95%     4 - 2 +21.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Dec 02, 2017 137   Wright St. W 78-60 81%     5 - 2 +16.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 10, 2017 196   @ Ohio L 84-89 75%     5 - 3 -4.2 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 13, 2017 64   @ Wisconsin L 80-81 36%     5 - 4 +10.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Dec 16, 2017 157   Indiana St. W 81-65 83%     6 - 4 +13.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Dec 19, 2017 91   Belmont L 72-75 69%     6 - 5 -0.3 +1.3 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2017 200   @ Austin Peay W 72-55 75%     7 - 5 +17.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 28, 2017 160   Louisiana Tech W 69-68 83%     8 - 5 1 - 0 -1.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 30, 2017 229   Southern Miss W 82-66 91%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +9.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Jan 06, 2018 115   @ Marshall W 112-87 54%     10 - 5 3 - 0 +31.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 11, 2018 77   @ Old Dominion W 75-68 40%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +17.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 13, 2018 313   @ Charlotte W 73-63 90%     12 - 5 5 - 0 +3.7 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 18, 2018 118   UAB W 77-69 76%     13 - 5 6 - 0 +8.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Jan 20, 2018 63   Middle Tennessee L 62-66 59%     13 - 6 6 - 1 +1.4 +2.7 +2.7
  Jan 27, 2018 115   Marshall W 85-74 75%     14 - 6 7 - 1 +11.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2018 249   @ UTEP W 72-60 82%     15 - 6 8 - 1 +9.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 03, 2018 177   @ Texas San Antonio L 63-74 70%     15 - 7 8 - 2 -8.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 08, 2018 245   Florida Atlantic W 75-63 92%     16 - 7 9 - 2 +4.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Feb 10, 2018 239   Florida International W 83-76 92%     17 - 7 10 - 2 -0.6 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 15, 2018 193   @ North Texas W 102-94 OT 74%     18 - 7 11 - 2 +9.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 17, 2018 295   @ Rice W 85-66 88%     19 - 7 12 - 2 +14.1 -2.4 -2.4
  Feb 22, 2018 313   Charlotte W 93-55 96%     20 - 7 13 - 2 +25.7 -6.2 -6.2
  Feb 24, 2018 77   Old Dominion W 88-66 64%     21 - 7 14 - 2 +26.1 +2.1 +2.1
  Mar 01, 2018 63   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-82 36%     21 - 8 14 - 3 -6.6 +5.7 +5.7
  Mar 03, 2018 118   @ UAB L 73-101 55%     21 - 9 14 - 4 -21.6 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 08, 2018 118   UAB W 98-70 66%     22 - 9 +31.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 09, 2018 77   Old Dominion W 57-49 52%     23 - 9 +15.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Mar 10, 2018 115   Marshall L 66-67 66%     23 - 10 +2.6 +1.8 +1.8
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 6.7% 6.7% 11.2 0.1 5.0 1.6 93.3 6.7%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.7% 0.0% 6.7% 11.2 0.1 5.0 1.6 93.3 6.7%